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/Title (La faillite des clubs franais de football : un secteur spcifique)
/Creator (Word)
/ModDate (D:20200114145836+01'00')
/Subject (Le football europen en gnral et le football franais en particulier font tat de difficults financires et de faillites rcurrentes de clubs professionnels. Sur la seule priode de 1975 2018, 81 clubs franais de football engags dans les championnats des quatre premires divisions ont connu une faillite. Le sujet de la faillite dentreprises a t largement trait pour les secteurs courants de lconomie. De nombreuses recherches se sont attaches construire des modles de prdiction, puis progressivement dautres travaux se sont concentrs sur le processus et les diffrentes trajectoires dentre dans la faillite.Les seuls travaux mens sur le football franais ont appliqu le modle de prdiction dAltman \(2000\) sur les clubs de Ligue 1 et de Ligue 2 et ont cherch identifier les facteurs de la dfaillance. Un accs privilgi aux donnes financires et aux parties prenantes du football franais nous a permis de construire un nouveau modle de prdiction de faillite adapt aux spcificits du football que nous avons ensuite complt par une analyse qualitative proposant une hirarchisation des facteurs explicatifs et leur enchanement au sein dun processus dynamique. Notre thse conclue limpossibilit de gnraliser un modle de prdiction des faillites lensemble des clubs des quatre premires divisions franaises. Nanmoins, les amliorations apportes par notre propre modle permettent de meilleurs taux de classement entre les clubs dfaillants et les clubs sains des trois premires divisions. Nous montrons galement quau-del dun score ponctuel obtenu dans le modle, son volution dans le temps est un signal important pour identifier et anticiper la dgradation de la situation financire de chaque club. Les clubs ne passent pas dun tat de bonne sant leur faillite de manire soudaine. Des entretiens mens avec des dirigeants, des actionnaires, des directeurs financiers et des membres de la Direction Nationale du Contrle de Gestion nous ont permis de modliser la dynamique globale dentre dans la faillite des clubs. Sur ces bases, nous proposons une nouvelle approche de la rgulation financire pour mieux prvenir la faillite des clubs de football.)
/Keywords (Faillite - Football - Modle de prdiction - Dynamique de la faillite - Rgulation financire)
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2019-10-04T10:34:25+01:00
2020-01-14T14:58:36+01:00
Word
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La faillite des clubs français de football : un secteur spécifique
Le football européen en général et le football français en particulier font état de difficultés financières et de faillites récurrentes de clubs professionnels. Sur la seule période de 1975 à 2018, 81 clubs français de football engagés dans les championnats des quatre premières divisions ont connu une faillite. Le sujet de la faillite d’entreprises a été largement traité pour les secteurs courants de l’économie. De nombreuses recherches se sont attachées à construire des modèles de prédiction, puis progressivement d’autres travaux se sont concentrés sur le processus et les différentes trajectoires d’entrée dans la faillite.Les seuls travaux menés sur le football français ont appliqué le modèle de prédiction d’Altman (2000) sur les clubs de Ligue 1 et de Ligue 2 et ont cherché à identifier les facteurs de la défaillance. Un accès privilégié aux données financières et aux parties prenantes du football français nous a permis de construire un nouveau modèle de prédiction de faillite adapté aux spécificités du football que nous avons ensuite complété par une analyse qualitative proposant une hiérarchisation des facteurs explicatifs et leur enchaînement au sein d’un processus dynamique. Notre thèse conclue à l’impossibilité de généraliser un modèle de prédiction des faillites à l’ensemble des clubs des quatre premières divisions françaises. Néanmoins, les améliorations apportées par notre propre modèle permettent de meilleurs taux de classement entre les clubs défaillants et les clubs sains des trois premières divisions. Nous montrons également qu’au-delà d’un score ponctuel obtenu dans le modèle, son évolution dans le temps est un signal important pour identifier et anticiper la dégradation de la situation financière de chaque club. Les clubs ne passent pas d’un état de bonne santé à leur faillite de manière soudaine. Des entretiens menés avec des dirigeants, des actionnaires, des directeurs financiers et des membres de la Direction Nationale du Contrôle de Gestion nous ont permis de modéliser la dynamique globale d’entrée dans la faillite des clubs. Sur ces bases, nous proposons une nouvelle approche de la régulation financière pour mieux prévenir la faillite des clubs de football.
Faillite - Football - Modèle de prédiction - Dynamique de la faillite - Régulation financière
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